Lisa Gervais: It's a landslide ... but then what?
|By Lisa Gervais - Editor | May 31, 2018|
With all due respect to the NDP, Liberal, Consensus and Libertarian candidates – oh, and the late filing Lynn Therien of the Greens and Tom Rhyno of the None Of The Above Party - you’re not going to beat PC incumbent Laurie Scott.
Not to knock any of you, but really, university students and fringe parties do not make for much of a contest, especially for Scott, who’s akin to royalty in these parts. She’s the daughter of the late Bill Scott, a federal MP for an astounding 28 years, who was born and raised just up the road in Kinmount.
She’s well-liked in the county. She’s a frequent visitor, whether it’s attending the funeral of a prominent Haliburtonian, or cutting the ribbon to open up something.
The only blight on her tenure was that decision to give up her seat so John Tory could run for a spot in the Ontario Legislature in 2009. That scheme went horribly awry for Scott and the Progressive Conservative party when Rick Johnson, now one of Ontario’s newest Justices of the Peace, delivered Tory, Scott et al a humbling byelection defeat.
But, next time up – in 2011 - Scott handily put Johnson back in his place. All up, she’s been in office around 13 years and counting.
So, come June 7, we’ll be hanging out at Scott’s election headquarters – likely the Lindsay Golf and County Club, again – to announce her victory.
But what we’ll really be interested in is how her party does on the night. Will Doug Ford defeat Kathleen Wynne as expected? Will the NDP’s Andrea Horwath pull off a shocking Bob Rae-esque miracle and deliver the NDP a minority government? Will the Liberals somehow incomprehensibly hold office, perhaps in cahoots with the NDP?
If we emerge June 7 with a PC government, to go along with our PC member of parliament, that is arguably a good thing for us. While Scott has done some good work – on portfolios such as human sex trafficking and doggedly fighting the high cost of Hydro – she’s done it from the Opposition benches for a very long time now. She must be chomping at the bit to form government.
The other big question then becomes what would leader Doug Ford do with her? She is a veteran politician who arguably deserves to be a cabinet minister. But, she also supported Christine Elliott in the PC leadership race.
And, although she is the consummate team player – putting out a press release to say she was on board with Ford Nation – we all know – and he knows – he wasn’t her choice.
So, the only thing we can predict is a Scott win. As to what colour our province will be when we wake up June 8 – blue, orange, red, we’ll have to wait and see. If it does go Tory blue, what role will our Haliburton County royalty have in it? Stay tuned.
Lisa Gervais is the editor for The Highlander.